Jordan fears the crossfire if Gaza war pulls Iran into wider conflict

Jordan's request for Patriot air defence systems from Washington reflects its growing concern about being caught in the crossfire if the war in Gaza pulls in Iran and its well-armed regional militias on the kingdom's borders.

Jordan neighbours Syria and Iraq - both states where Iranian proxies operate - and also sits next door to Israel and the Israeli-occupied West Bank. It has watched Israel's war against the Palestinian group Hamas, another Iranian ally, with rising alarm.

King Abdullah has spoken bluntly about his fears that the conflict could cause trigger a new displacement of Palestinians to the kingdom, already home to a large population of Palestinians dispossessed from their land when Israel was created in 1948.

But former senior Jordanian officials and a security source told Reuters that Jordan was now appealing for more advanced US defence hardware and support because of worries Iran and its proxies could become embroiled more deeply in any wider Middle East conflagration.

"Jordan needs these weapons to protect itself, but it is also in the US interest, and it is a key deterrence to the Iranians," said Mamoun Abu Nuwar, a former Jordanian air force general.

"With the presence of these unruly, uncontrolled militias, let's say that if they start striking Israel in a widening conflict, we would be caught in the middle," he said.

A Jordanian army spokesperson said on Sunday that Amman had requested that US Patriot missiles be deployed in Jordan.

Washington last stationed the air defence system in Jordan in 2013 when an escalating conflict in Syria had also raised fears of a regional flare-up that could threaten the country, one of Washington's most loyal Middle East allies.

Jordan's announcement of the Patriot request comes as Amman has been deepening its defence ties with Washington. It already has a list of US equipment on order for its military, including 12 US-built F-16 warplanes.

"I expect we will see a much more accelerated response to longstanding requests for a whole inventory of munitions and equipment that had been relatively slow to be delivered," said a security official in Jordan, who declined to be named.

BOLSTERING DEFENCES

A spokesperson for the US Embassy in Amman did not have more details about the Patriot request. They said Washington was working with F-16's manufacturer on delivering the plane order and said US military assistance to Jordan was worth more than $600 million a year.

The US military said on Oct. 21 it would send a Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) system and Patriots to the Middle East - without saying precisely where they would be located - in response to attacks on US troops in the region.

The Pentagon has declined to say whether the Patriot system will be deployed in Jordan.

Jordan's government signed a defence deal with the United States in January 2021, offering US forces "unimpeded access" to several Jordanian military facilities, storage sites for prepositioning equipment and other installations.

The US military has also been training Jordan's army.

"On the issue of our borders with Syria, bolstering our defence is in tune with US interests in the region where there has been a building up of capabilities of the Jordanian army," said Samih Al Maitah, a former information minister.

Maitah, who has a close knowledge of Jordan's security and political thinking, said Amman needed support to defend itself against Iranian-backed militias building up their strength on Jordan's borders with Iraq and Syria.

He said Jordan's military and security forces were determined "to prevent any party in these Iranian militias from exploiting the Gaza war to achieve a security breakthrough".

GROWING IRANIAN INFLUENCE

Iran's influence in Jordan's neighbours has grown in the past two decades. The US-led invasion of Iraq in 2003, which toppled Sunni Muslim autocrat Saddam Hussein, allowed Shi'ite Muslim Iran to expand its influence there.

Since the Gaza war erupted, Iranian-backed militias have attacked US forces in Iraq, including a drone attack on Iraq's Ain al-Asad airbase on Tuesday.

Iran's influence in Syria has expanded since Tehran's allies, including Lebanese group Hezbollah, helped Syrian President Bashar al-Assad quell a rebellion that erupted in 2011. Iranian-backed militias hold sway on Syria's southern border with Jordan and Amman blames them and Iran for running a thriving drugs smuggling business.

Adding to the mix, Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi group said on Tuesday it had fired missiles at Israel on several occasions in October, including Tuesday when Israel said it downed an "aerial target" in the area of the Red Sea city of Eilat, which is located next to Jordan's border and its city of Aqaba.

"Getting the Patriots is now pressing in light of the escalation by Iranian proxies that are incrementally stepping up their drone attacks and firing rockets from Syria, Iraq and Yemen," said Saud Al Sharafat, former brigadier-general in Jordan's General Intelligence Directorate.

He said Jordan's army and security forces were "drawing up scenarios in the event we get caught in the crossfire from any of our borders".