Netizens can now win cash predicting Elon’s tweet count

What if predicting Elon Musk's tweet count could make you money? It might sound like a joke, but on Polymarket, the internet's popular prediction market, it is a serious business. Correctly guess whether Musk will post more than 450 tweets this week, and you could pocket some cash.

Polymarket lets users buy "shares" in predictions, such as the number of tweets Musk will fire off. This week's market, which closed on 17 January, had seen more than $4 million in trading volume. And it is no small trend — the Musk tweet market has been running weekly since at least June, with regular volumes exceeding $1 million.

For those willing to dive in, there is more than one way to bet. You can predict Musk's tweets will surpass 450, or try your luck on narrower ranges like 400-449. The site's active users debate the odds passionately, and analyse trends like seasoned gamblers.

Polymarket users can comment on the prediction thread and the often post analysis based on the upcoming events of Elon's ventures.

Polymarket's rival, Kalshi, also has Elon Musk-themed prediction threads that cover various topics like his future net worth and potential political roles.

So, will Musk hit 450 tweets this week? If you have got a hunch, you might just turn it into a profit.