Climate change funding talks stuck ahead of COP29 summit
While countries agree $100 billion is too low, there is little chance they would agree to summon the $2.4 trillion per year that the UN climate chief in February said was needed to keep the world's climate goals within reach
Yet wealthy countries are wary of setting a target too high and risking it going unmet. The missed $100 billion target became politically symbolic in recent UN climate talks, stoking mistrust between nations as developing countries argued the world's economic powers were abandoning them.
Diplomats in Bonn have circled the issue of how much money to put on the table.
While countries agree $100 billion is too low, there is little chance they would agree to summon the $2.4 trillion per year that the UN climate chief in February said was needed to keep the world's climate goals within reach.
Neither the European Union or the US have suggested a number for the goal, although both acknowledged this week that it must exceed $100 billion. The 27-country EU is currently the biggest provider of climate finance.
The elephant in the negotiation rooms, some diplomats told Reuters, was the upcoming US presidential election, in which Donald Trump is seeking to return to office.
The previous Trump administration pulled the world's biggest economy out of the Paris climate agreement. Negotiators said they worry a future Trump administration could halt US climate finance payments, leaving it to other wealthy nations to meet the annual pledge.
But some countries in Bonn have made suggestions.
India, and a group of Arab countries including Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Egypt, have said the overall financing target should exceed $1 trillion per year, to reflect the spiralling needs of poorer countries as climate change worsens.
The Arab countries propose that rich nations provide $441 billion in public funding per year in grants, to leverage a total $1.1 trillion per year from broader sources.
Small island countries vulnerable to climate change have also pushed for stricter rules on what counts toward the target, suggesting preventing loans with interest rates above 1%, to avoid adding to poor nations' already-high debts.
Most public climate funds provided by developed nations are loans, according to the OECD.
DECIDING WHO SHOULD PAY
Countries are also at odds over who should contribute.
There are about two dozen, long-industrialised countries currently obliged to contribute to UN climate finance. That list was decided during UN climate talks in 1992, when China's economy was still smaller than Italy's.
The EU wants China - now the world's biggest CO2 emitter and second biggest economy - and high wealth-per-capita Middle Eastern countries to contribute for the new goal. The US has also argued for adding more countries in the donor base.
However, the Arab countries and China firmly opposed this idea, with Beijing reiterating China's status as a "developing country" under the UN climate convention.
"We, the developing countries, have no intention to make your number look good or be part of your responsibility, as we are doing all we can do to save the world," China's negotiator told other diplomats during negotiations on the finance target in Bonn on Tuesday.
Neither camp of countries has compromised on who should pay, said Joe Thwaites, who tracks climate finance negotiations for the non-profit Natural Resources Defense Council.
"Negotiations were difficult and things are moving slowly," he said.
As talks continue beyond Bonn, some negotiators said government ministers could raise the issue at higher level meetings such as G20 ministers' gatherings in Brazil ahead of COP29.